The NBA playoffs continue to be excitingly weird. The Cavs missed almost all of their open shots at home ( and let the Warriors take 28 of their 36 attempts as open beyond the arc) to allow the Warriors to steal game 4 and all but eliminate them. Then the Draymond Green decided to take another nut shot at an opponent and has been suspended for Game 5. This is a pretty unprecedented event, and how exactly Golden State responds will be interesting. Green has averaged just under 40 minutes a game this series, with the top two lineups without him also feature Leandro Barbosa and Mo Speights with significant time.
To build an actual team model without Green is very difficult because of his super high minutes. However, even tamping down the Warriors a bit without him and elevating the Cavs a bit, the program sees the series ending tonight in Oakland. The Cavs have been atrocious away from Cleveland in this series with just an 85.7 Ortg and a Drtg over 115. I'm not certain it's as certain as the 92% the program gives the dubs but the 103-92 score sounds just about right.
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