The Cavs have found themselves in a hole. Specifically a terrible shooting hole. That has been the difference for a team that had been absolutely lights out prior to this series. While a lot of folks have talked about their 3 point shot drying up, it's been the easy interior stuff that has killed them. During the regular season the Cavs hit 56% of their shots from under 10 ft. So far in this series they're shooting just 48% from that short distance. They are also missing open looks (as defined as a closest defender 4-6 feet away) at a whopping 71% rate. That's been a quarter of their shots that are uncontested and they can't make 1 in 3 of them!
The program is again super on the Cavs returning to normality, especially at home. It gives them an 88% chance to win, and thinks they'll get to 108 points. It still sees the Warriors shooting hot though, scoring 104.
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