These ratings are obviously very preliminary, just to give me an idea typically of futures bets and projecting conference winners. The formula has an r^2 value of .687 to a team's final rankings, which I think its pretty fantastic this far out from the end of the season. There are a few surprises every year, and this year is no different.
1
|
Florida State
|
2
|
Louisiana State
|
3
|
Alabama
|
4
|
Georgia
|
5
|
Southern California
|
6
|
Baylor
|
7
|
UCLA
|
8
|
Tennessee
|
9
|
Oregon
|
10
|
Oklahoma
|
11
|
Miami(FL)
|
12
|
Auburn
|
13
|
Clemson
|
14
|
Ohio State
|
15
|
Oklahoma State
|
16
|
Washington
|
17
|
Mississippi
|
18
|
Louisville
|
19
|
Brigham Young
|
20
|
Stanford
|
21
|
Michigan
|
22
|
Mississippi State
|
23
|
Texas A&M
|
24
|
Pittsburgh
|
25
|
Arizona
|
The first thing that really stands out is Clemson sitting outside of the Top 10. I believe that they will end up in the Playoff, but the program is concerned about the team without Watson helming the offense, and the senior class was much further behind some of their contemporary schools in terms of recruiting rankings. The program also is not a big believer in Stanford. The only knock it seems to have is the returning experience, so I'm expecting them to be much better off than the rankings give them.
Of teams that I think its mysteriously high on, FSU has to top the list. The 'Noles though have consistently been a good recruitier, and they return quite a bit of experience. Im not super comfortable having them number 1, but theres a good chance they can knock off Clemson in the ACC. As Bill Connely pointed out in his preview, Oregon will be much better if they can find some stable QB.
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