Wednesday, May 29, 2019

NBA Finals 2019 Predictions

We've now come to the end of the season, with just a handful of games left for the NBA.  It's been a wild ride, and we've gotten a fairly wild finale to go with it.  Most folks had the Warriors here, but their Eastern opponents were murkier to predict.  The Raptors though stormed through their last 4 games to get past the Bucks whom I thought were the strongest team in the East.  Here's how the two teams stack up over the last 4 games


Its important to look at these last 4 games because it might be closer to the version of the teams we actually see, the Warriors without KD and the Raptors hitting on all cylinders.  The program this year has not really liked the Warriors, thanks to their higher variability with injuries and some just overall lapses in play quality. They however rolled right through the team that had been best since the trade deadline (Houston), and waltzed through the Blazers without KD.  The Raptors struggled more through their series, needing 7 games to best the Sixers and looked a bit lost to start against Milwaukee as they've struggled with some of their own injuries.  However they rolled the last 4 games, even as Kawahi looked a little gimpy on the right quad. 

The program overall thinks the Raptors are a slightly worse, but more consistent team.  It will be interesting to see how the Warriors re-introduce KD if he's healthy, and if Kawahi Leonard can slow down  Draymond Green more than the Blazers front court could.  The Warriors in all likeliehood have the advantage here, but if KD struggles to work back in or any of Steph's nagging injuries flare up, the Raptors are one of the best teams and can capitalize on it. 

Toronto Series Wins: 57.7%
Golden State Series Wins: 42..%
Average Games Needed: 7



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