Saturday, October 29, 2016

Corellian Conflict Squadron Thoughts

I'm extremely excited for the Corellian Conflict coming out for the Armada game.  For those who don't know, its adding campaign style play to Armada.  You and up to five other companions will fight battles at different strategic spots in the Star Wars universe.  It is also adding though a whole mess of new squadrons that have some great twists on the original squadron.  I've got some early thoughts on each of the so far spoiled squadrons and what its going to mean for the Tournament Meta prior to the release of the next wave of ships.


A very nice overview of what we've got from Armada forum member Captain Weather


Imperials:

Black Squadron-TIE Fighter Squadron

The suicide squad has arrived!  The Black Squadron is here to take the heat of of someone, most likely for just one exchange of fire.  For a point more than your typical TIE you'll forgo Swarm to get Counter 1 and Escort. I'm not really certain where Black Squadron will show up though.  Fighters with Escort you're really always hoping to trade for your more valuable squads to do their work.  With just 3 hull, and most rebel fighters pumping at least four attack dice, Black Squadrom might sheer off at best a pair of attacks. They might see some play hanging out as a secondary escort gighter for the Imperial killer Aces (Howl, Mauler, Vader, Dengar and Soontir) to keep opponents from just jumping over Vader to pick off one of the others in the ball, but Most folks would probably rather just have an extra Tie Advanced that might soak up 3 or more attacks.

Valen Rudor-TIE Fighter Squadron

This guy just has the biggest grin on his face, and for good reason.  He is going to simply murder generic fighters.  The 3 black anti squadron dice average 2.25 damage per attack (bumped up to 2.67 with Swarm to give a re-roll), and he has extreme staying power with a Brace and a Scatter as defense dice.  He will most likely be paired with Howlrunner to give him either a bit of extra damage, or a chance at an accuracy to put the hurt on named squadrons.  And at just 13 points, he will be right at home in a big group of TIE fighters, or TIE bombers with Flight Controllers to have some real staying power and provide a lot of plink damage to counteract all the braces on the rebel side.  I have also seen some talk that Vale accompanying Instigator will be worth examining to drive right into enemy squadrons and deliver pure punishement.  Honestly Valen might be the best Imperial pilot to get added.

Gamma Squadron-TIE Bomber

A nice add in bomber.  For only a point you lose Heavy and add Grit.  Likely going to be added to most bomber centric builds as a bomber that still move after your Intel ships have been plucked off. Also makes a nice addition for  just tossing in a bomber squadron since it wont require deciated Intel.

Captain Jonus- TIE Bomber Squadron

Ah, a bomber unique now that will give an opportunity to use someone besides Major Rhymer in bomber centric lists.  His ability to aid ships by allowing you to swap a die for an accuracy in attacks is going to really help diversify the Imperial carrier force as well, with the ability for longer strikng Gladiator-II to see some play.  Ive also always felt you really needed to go whole hog with Rhymer to really utilize his ability.  Jonus though could be a smaller splash of bombers that I remember using much more during Waves 1-2.  I don't think we will see Jonus and Rhymer together though so much, since that's now 32 points for a pair of bombers, and that their abilities really work against each other.

Ciena Rae-TIE Interceptor Squadron

Ciena is a standard TIE Interceptor, with some extra staying power thanks to the fact that all attacks against her are obstructed.  This is very nice against a lot of the currently used capital ships that have just a single AA die, as well as providing her with a pretty good chance of being able to use her Brace since any accuracies are likely going to her Scatter.  She;s a little pricey, but she and Valen Rudor could make a nice pair as well since she's likely to survive an encounter or two.  She also could see time with Bomber builds as an Anti-Squad roll and then survive the AA later on to help add damage with her single blue die.

Saber Squadron-TIE Interceptor Squadron

I saved Saber for the last Imperial Squad because I think it will be the best Imperial squadron added, and it might be right next to Rhymer in terms of usage going forward.  For 12 points, you lose the Counter ability but you gain possibly the most game changing ability we will see in this box and next wave: Snipe.  The ability to move in late and stay un-engaged to possibly eliminate Jan Ors is going to be huge going forward.  You maintain Swarm, so you can get something heavier in there to engage and get your re-roll as well to improve those odds.  Several folks on the Armada forums don't seem to think that you will be able to use Howlrunner to add a die to the attack, but I think that will get FAQ'd to Work.  It might also work with Flight Coordinators, giving a possibly 6 dice attack that ignores Counter and Escort is going to be awesome.  It is also the only Imperial with the ability it looks like into the next wave.

Rebels

Rogue Sqadron-X-Wing Squadron

Rogue Squadron removes Escort from the X WIng, and gives it Rogue for a point more than the standard.  Its going to be a popular pick for a lot of folks, especially in a Riekan aces style of list where you might not need so much Escort to keep some key guys alive. Its going to be a nice addition, but its not game changing really for a lot of Rebel players that are running Jan Ors-Xwing groups or YT-2400s.

Biggs Darklighter-X-Wing Squadron

Biggs comes in at just 19 points, and is going to be an interesting play.  His damage shuffle ability is going to make Rebel squads that much harder to kill, especially when you already consider that he will likely fly next to Jan Ors and a few other X Wings, or possibly in with some YT-1300s to take advantage of their large store of hull points.  I like Biggs a lot at his price point, and think he;s going to be a solid contributor.

Ten Numb-B-Wing Squadron

Ten is going to be one of the squadrons I feel like Im going to need to play a lot with to get a good feeling for.  He trades a blue for a black Anti-Squad, and by spending a blue critical die he will do 1 splash damage to opponent's squads.  B-Wings though at speed 2 are not really so great for engaging squadrons, but he will certainly be a deterrence to Rhymer balls and Ors balls making their way towards a capital ship.

Shara Bey-A-Wing Squadron

Shara is going to be someone that you have to shoot at some point, but you're going to hope AA fire can bring her down. Being able to count the criticals on to a counter attack makes her a pretty attractive squad to really run into the middle of dog fights and dare someone to try to killer her.  She's competing with Tycho Celchu, but I think her damage spike and the proliferation of Intel based ships is going to see her at the table very often


So overall, what are the thoughts?  I think of the so far spoiled fighters (still awaiting Generic A wings, B-Wings, Y-Wings, generic and Named, and the TIE Advanced updates) the Rebels got some very interesting tools, but that the Imperial Squadrons have given them far more firepower and flexibility. 

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

College Football Week 9 WIn Percentages


The program has continued to pick winners at a good steady rate of about 76% per week.  There are always a few tosses and turns, but I'm quite happy with the progress this season. 


Sunday, October 23, 2016

College Football Biggest Risers and Fallers

So, the college football season is now two thirds of the way done.  Some teams we knew would be good (Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson), and some we knew would be bad (Purdue, Idaho, Texas State).  Its the teams in this list that have given us something really to talk about, the teams that we didn't see coming, or that we didn't see falling to the depths they have.

Risers:

Troy Trojans 

Projected Rank: 115                  Current Rank: 33           



The Trojans have had a down few seasons, not breaking .500 since 2010 (they did finish 6-6 in 2013, in between two 3-9 seasons).  This year though they've already hit 6 wins, and should be favored in at least 3 of their remaining matchups. What has happened to give them such a jolt up?  The defense has really stepped up, allowing opponents to score a touchdown less per game, and also allowing 10% fewer possible yards per drive.  The offense has also become much more efficient, as junior tailback Jordan Churns has taken the starters role, and has averaged better than 5 yards per carry this season.  His back up, Josh Anderson has also averaged over 5 yards per carry in limited carries, but that's far better than last years back up provided.                              


Western Michigan

Projected Rank: 91st             Current Rank: 12

PJ Fleck is likely going to be looking for a Power 5 type job after the work he has put in at Western.  The Broncos probably should not be on this list.  Last year they were an 8-5 team, and they returned a lot of their depth, including Senior QB Zach Terrel, who is demolishing MAC opposition to the tune of 9.5 yards per attempt and 20 TDs to just one Int.  He's been solid on third downs as well, converting 43% of his throws to first downs.  I'm not certain WMU is good enough to keep up with some of the nation's best, but if they can go undefeated we might just get a chance to see.  

Toledo

Projected Rank: 82nd            Current Rank: 30th

The Rockets were expected to take a step back largely due to attrition.  The program was going to be losing a lot of its starting production, and a lot of Juniors and sophomores littered the 2 deep.  The offense though has not missed a beat, gaining over 56%of their available yards on offense.  The ey factor though might be a defense that is allowing opponents to gain only 35% of their available ayrds, 24th in the nation.  John Stepec and Teyvon Hester have been huge in this, each producing 4 sacks and combining for 16 tackles for loss.  

Fallers:

Georgia

Projected Rank: 4th           Current Rank: 71st

What a complete whiff for the program in predicting Georgia.  A team it saw as being a playoff contender now sits at 4-3, and has to still play Florida, Auburn and Georgia Tech.  The Bulldogs pass defense has been just atrocious.  Opponents are posting a 135.2 passer rating, due to completing over 61% of their passes for nearly 8 yards per attempt.  Their own passing game has been pretty brutal as well, with Freshman Nick Eason hitting under 55% of his passes.  Nick Chubb has also not produced so well in the running game. A year after averaging over 8 yards per carry, he's down to just 5 yards per attempt this year, and has found the endzone only 5 times.

Marshall

Projected Rank: 44th        Current Rank: 110th

The Thundering Herd was seen as being a solid mid major team this year, but their defense has been a major let down.  They've surrendered 53% of the total yards possible to teams, ranking 124th in the nation.  They rank 98th in runs over 10 yards allowed, with opponents already having 46 carries ht that mark so far.  They've also been bad on third downs, allowing opponents to convert on 41% of their opportunities.  

The Michigan State

Projected Rank: 30th   Current Rank: 90th

The Spartans are also having troubles for their typically sound defense.  Opponents are converting nearly half of their 3rd down attempts, and they're averaging 4.8 points per Maroon Zone trip, 81st in the country.  This though likely wouldn't be enough to sink Sparty to being one of the worst rated teams in the nation, if not for an offense that ranks 10th in efficiency.  That is killing both their own field position and is setting the defense up for failure in their own endeavors.  MSU has rushed for less than 100 yards on three occasions already, and going forward they will not be favored in a single match up,

Los Links Oct 23rd

Undiscovered Planet causing Solar Tilt
An interesting phenomenon in our solar system.  The long predicted Planet X thats currently beyond our scope of observation is starting to show up in some other ways.

 Time Crystals, the impossible is possible
This is a huge step towards quantum computing if the experiment's results are able to be duplicated.

 Drug resistant superbugs being reversed by your stomach
I'm seeing more and more studies of inventive new ways to combat these drug resistant bacteria.  This methodology could be very good, since it uses a bodies own biome to go after these bacteria
 

Ancient Greeks in China?
Fitting that after my trip to the area, that there is new speculation of the Greeks influencing Chinese culture and life.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

College Football Week 8 Win Predictions

Well, I am now finally back from my honey moon, and back into the swing of it (mostly).  The college football landscape has had a few complete upsets, but for the most part things have stayed the same with our previously thought power blue bloods running the show.  Pre-season predictions phased themselves out of predictions in week 6 for the program, and I'll have a post up this weekend on which teams have exceeded its expectations and which ones failed to do so.

Here's this weeks win percentages, which as I post this Miami is failing a bit with their secondary looking just dreadful against a rejuvenated Hokies passing attack