College Football Playoff Win Chances

Running through all the playoff predictions, the program is liking the national pundits thoughts on Alabama running away with things again this year.  Its giving them a 64% chance to advance against Washington, and and an overall chance of wining the title at 48%.  The divergence seems to be with Ohio State and Clemson.  The program has not loved the Tigers at all this year, but it gives them just a 25.8% chance to beat the Buckeyes, and basically no chance to get past Alabama or Washington in the title game.  The odds of them winning it all this year are at just 5%, by far the lowest shot of any of the other contenders.  I really don't believe that, since the Tigers have a pretty solid Havoc Rate of 21.3%, just barely trailing the Crimson Tide.  I also believe in Deshaun Watson moreso than JT Barrett, who has struggled mightily this year with accuracy issues. Id give Clemson closer to a 40% chance of winning just from other numbers and the ol' eye test.  As the