Monday, July 8, 2019

NCAA Football: Far too early power rankings

Whats that?  Its the middle of the summer and football is still months away?  Its time to hit the old standby of predicted power rankings!

These rankings are of course likely to be wrong, but it is important to get them out and start looking at which teams might be risers and fallers based on the program's picks for them in season.  This first go through is a simple rating based mostly on returning depth and contribution, recruiting rankings, and the teams recent history.  Likely next week I'll have a post that will have simulated the entire college football season to see where it will put teams.  This first pass is also what I use early in the season to make predictions, and help smooth the numbers until the season is a few weeks old.

 In general, the top 25 feels about right with two teams standing out that I think will be far worse off than the program likes early on.  Florida State took a tumble last year under direction of Willie Taggert, and they now are facing the loss of Deandre Francois and an offensive line that has been a sieve.  The program sees the previous two years and strong recruiting and thinks maybe last year was a blip.  The same thing goes for Louisville, who fell tremendously and I don't think they'll be able to move up much past that.  They've got a lot of returning production, but that production was bad last year. 

On the other side, Utah is likely far too low, as still is likely Boise State. Utah returns a lot of talent, and has been on a nice upswing the last few years in the Pac-12, with relatively little competition outside of USC in the South.  The Broncos continue to be the class of the Mountain West, and while they have to replace veteran signal caller Brett Rypien, theyve got a lot of guys to pick from to do it. 

1 Alabama
2 Clemson
3 Michigan
4 Georgia
5 Ohio State
6 Louisiana State
7 Auburn
8 Oregon
9 Oklahoma
10 Notre Dame
11 Michigan State
12 Washington
13 Penn State
14 Southern California
15 Wisconsin
16 Central Florida
17 Florida State
18 Florida
19 Oklahoma State
20 Miami(FL)
21 Iowa
22 Louisville
23 Mississippi State
24 Tennessee
25 Texas

The full rankings are after the jump.





1 Alabama
2 Clemson
3 Michigan
4 Georgia
5 Ohio State
6 Louisiana State
7 Auburn
8 Oregon
9 Oklahoma
10 Notre Dame
11 Michigan State
12 Washington
13 Penn State
14 Southern California
15 Wisconsin
16 Central Florida
17 Florida State
18 Florida
19 Oklahoma State
20 Miami(FL)
21 Iowa
22 Louisville
23 Mississippi State
24 Tennessee
25 Texas
26 Utah
27 Iowa State
28 Texas A&M
29 South Carolina
30 Virginia Tech
31 Minnesota
32 Texas Christian
33 Texas Tech
34 Kansas State
35 Houston
36 Appalachian State
37 Indiana
38 Western Michigan
39 Nebraska
40 Missouri
41 Stanford
42 Washington State
43 Boise State
44 UCLA
45 Memphis
46 Northwestern
47 Wake Forest
48 West Virginia
49 South Florida
50 Duke
51 Pittsburgh
52 Temple
53 Baylor
54 Arizona State
55 Syracuse
56 Toledo
57 Colorado
58 San Diego State
59 Kentucky
60 North Carolina State
61 Mississippi
62 Maryland
63 Boston College
64 Northern Illinois
65 Arizona
66 Southern Mississippi
67 Troy
68 Brigham Young
69 Virginia
70 Marshall
71 California
72 Alabama-Birmingham
73 Oregon State
74 Air Force
75 Louisiana Tech
76 Army
77 Vanderbilt
78 Georgia Tech
79 North Carolina
80 Tulsa
81 Cincinnati
82 Purdue
83 Southern Methodist
84 Illinois
85 Florida Atlantic
86 Ohio
87 Florida International
88 Western Kentucky
89 Arkansas
90 Arkansas State
91 Rutgers
92 Hawaii
93 Tulane
94 Wyoming
95 Louisiana-Monroe
96 Navy
97 Louisiana-Lafayette
98 North Texas
99 Georgia Southern
100 Utah State
101 Kansas
102 Eastern Michigan
103 Fresno State
104 Ball State
105 Colorado State
106 Middle Tennessee State
107 East Carolina
108 Texas-San Antonio
109 Miami(OH)
110 Kent State
111 Nevada-Las Vegas
112 Central Michigan
113 Georgia State
114 Texas State
115 Akron
116 Buffalo
117 New Mexico
118 Nevada
119 San Jose State
120 Liberty
121 Connecticut
122 Charlotte
123 New Mexico State
124 Coastal Carolina
125 Old Dominion
126 Bowling Green State
127 South Alabama
128 Texas-El Paso
129 Massachusetts
130 Rice

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