Elite 8 Charts, Data, Win%

Things went fairly to plan in the Sweet 16.  Kentucky and Gonzaga easily handled their opponents, while a majority of the field was competitive through most of game time. The linear solver saw a closer game of Notre Dame and the Shockers, but the mid major darlings went cold shooting again (which was the same thing that had doomed them two years ago during their last Final 4 run).  Overall got 7/8 games picked correctly, with the Sooners being the only big swing and a miss.

Arizona vsWisconsin

Expected Outcome: Arizona by 1

Arizona has a 51% chance to advance

 

Team	EFG%	TOV%	Free Throw Rate	Oreb%	DEFG%	TOV% Forced	Defensive Free Throw Rate	Dreb%	Ortg	Drtg
Arizona	53.58	16.71	34.14	47.12	44.32	21.10	22.32	36.30	116.01	86.38
Wisconsin	54.57	12.42	31.94	35.58	46.70	16.71	23.73	21.06	124.70	94.260

Duke vs Gonzaga

Expected Outcome: Gonzaga by 1

Gonzaga has a 52% chance to advance

 

Team	EFG%	TOV%	Free Throw Rate	Oreb%	DEFG%	TOV% Forced	Defensive Free Throw Rate	Dreb%	Ortg	Drtg
Duke	56.86	16.76	37.44	40.16	47.36	18.75	30.05	25.01	122.03	96.13
Gonzaga	58.44	16.27	33.87	39.13	43.59	17.62	28.62	31.64	119.44	93.43

Kentucky vs Notre Dame

Expected Outcome: Kentucky by 10

Kentucky has a 88% chance to advance

Team	EFG%	TOV%	Free Throw Rate	Oreb%	DEFG%	TOV% Forced	Defensive Free Throw Rate	Dreb%	Ortg	Drtg
Kentucky	51.78	16.45	40.42	43.79	39.71	21.82	31.64	31.59	119.73	85.82
Notre Dame	58.58	14.44	28.08	37.13	48.06	17.38	31.60	23.34	122.23	99.67

Michigan St. vs Louisville

Expected Outcome: Louisville by 1

Louisville has a 52% chance to advance

Team	EFG%	TOV%	Free Throw Rate	Oreb%	DEFG%	TOV% Forced	Defensive Free Throw Rate	Dreb%	Ortg	Drtg
Louisville	47.81	17.76	35.15	38.81	43.45	21.76	30.94	34.66	105.88	89.36
Michigan St.	53.82	17.89	34.63	31.90	45.69	17.03	25.96	37.67	114.12	96.07