Saturday, April 18, 2015

NBA 1st Round Charts and Series Predictions

Much like the NCAA Tournament charts, these NBA charts will help give a nice visual of each teams strengths and how they stack up.  I'm going to include the typical chance of winning a home game, and the series prediction as well. 

Atlanta vs Brooklyn
 Hawks Win Chance at Home: 77.9%
Nets Win Chance at Home: 34.3%
Hawks win: 89% of the time


Team
EFG%
TOV%
FTRate
OReb
DEFG%
D
TOV%
D
FTRate
DReb
ORtg
DRtg
Pace
Atlanta Hawks
52.7
13.5
20.1
21.4
49.2
14.9
18.5
73.4
108.9
103.1
93.9
Brooklyn Nets
49.1
13
20
23.9
50.6
12.9
18.5
73.7
104.4
107.4
92.7


Boston vs Cleveland
 Celtics Win Chance at Home: 43%
Cavs Win Chance at Home: 70%
Cavs Win series: 78.9% of the time


Team
EFG%
TOV%
FTRate
OReb
DEFG%
D
TOV%
D
FTRate
DReb
ORtg
DRtg
Pace
Boston Celtics
48.9
12.5
17.6
24.7
49.4
13.7
20.8
75
104.7
104.5
95.8
Cleveland Cavaliers
52
13.4
21.6
26.8
50.2
12.6
17.7
74.7
111.1
106.3
92.3


Chicago vs Milwaukee
 Bulls Win Chance at Home: 65.3%
Bucks Win Chance at Home: 50.1%
Bulls Win series: 64.1% of the time


Team
EFG%
TOV%
FTRate
OReb
DEFG%
D
TOV%
D
FTRate
DReb
ORtg
DRtg
Pace
Chicago Bulls
48.9
12.9
23.8
27
47.3
11.3
18.2
74.4
107.5
104.3
92.8
Milwaukee Bucks
49.9
15.5
19.5
25.4
48.7
15.9
22.1
73.3
102.7
102.2
94.1


Dallas vs Houston
 Mavs Win Chance at Home: 55.6%
Rockets Win Chance at Home: 58.8%
Rockets Win series: 55.6% of the time


Team
EFG%
TOV%
FTRate
OReb
DEFG%
D
TOV%
D
FTRate
DReb
ORtg
DRtg
Pace
Dallas Mavericks
51.5
11.9
19.7
23.6
50.3
14.7
20.4
72.2
109.5
106.4
95.2
Houston Rockets
51.2
15
22.3
26.8
48.6
14.6
20.8
72.9
107
103.4
96.5


Golden State vs New Orleans
 Warriors Win Chance at Home: 79.6%
Pelicans Win Chance at Home: 31.9%
Warriors Win series: 91.2% of the time

Team
EFG%
TOV%
FTRate
OReb
DEFG%
D
TOV%
D
FTRate
DReb
ORtg
DRtg
Pace
Golden State Warriors
54
13.1
18.4
24.1
47
14.3
21.7
74.5
111.6
101.4
98.3
New Orleans Pelicans
50.1
12.5
19.8
27.1
49.6
11.7
19.5
75.1
108.2
107.3
91.4


Los Angeles vs San Antonio
 Clippers Win Chance at Home: 58.5%
Spurs Win Chance at Home: 56.2%
Clippers Win series: 50.1% of the time


Team
EFG%
TOV%
FTRate
OReb
DEFG%
D
TOV%
D
FTRate
DReb
ORtg
DRtg
Pace
Los Angeles Clippers
53.3
11.6
21.5
22.8
49.3
13.2
23.1
75.7
112.4
105.5
94.7
San Antonio Spurs
51.7
13.1
20
23.4
48.4
13.3
19
77.3
108.5
102
93.8


Memphis vs Portland
 Grizzlies Win Chance at Home: 54.6%
Blazers Win Chance at Home: 60.1%
Blazers Win series: 58.4% of the time



Team
EFG%
TOV%
FTRate
OReb
DEFG%
D
TOV%
D
FTRate
DReb
ORtg
DRtg
Pace
Memphis Grizzlies
48.9
12.6
21.4
24.7
49.2
14.5
18.3
75.3
105.7
102.2
92
Portland Trail Blazers
50.8
12.6
18
24.2
47.6
11.3
18.2
76.2
108.2
103.7
94.2

Toronto vs Washington
 Raptors Win Chance at Home: 64.1%
Wizards Win Chance at Home: 50.6%
Raptors Win series: 62.5% of the time


Team
EFG%
TOV%
FTRate
OReb
DEFG%
D
TOV%
D
FTRate
DReb
ORtg
DRtg
Pace
Toronto Raptors
50.8
12
23.2
25.6
50.6
13.4
20.8
73.3
111
107.7
92.8
Washington Wizards
49.9
14
19.2
24.9
48.1
12.9
21
77.3
103.7
103
93.7


To recap, we have the Hawks, Cavs, Bulls and Raptors all comfortably advancing in the East, whereas out West the Warriors should cruise, but everyone else might be in line for a 6 or 7 game death struggle.




















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