Championship 2015

So we come to the final game of the season.  The program wraps a pretty successful season, going at about 70% in terms of outright wins, and about 60% against the spread.  It needs some tweaks for the power conferences playing against mid majors, but otherwise I'm pretty happy with its performance.  The tournament certainly needs some tweaking, but that's more accounting for wide variability. 

Duke vs Wisconsin

Expected Outcome: Wisconsin by 1

Wisconsin has a 54% chance to win

 

Team	EFG%	TOV%	Free Throw Rate	OReb%	DEFG%	TOV% Forced	Defensive Free Throw Rate	DReb%	ORtg	DRtg
Duke	56.86	16.76	37.44	40.16	47.36	18.75	30.05	25.01	122.03	96.13
Wisconsin	54.57	12.42	31.94	35.58	46.7	16.71	23.73	21.06	124.7	94.26