Friday, April 3, 2015

Final 4 Charts,Data,Win%

Almost there.  Its been a pretty solid tournament for the program, and an overall very good season.  We'll see if it can get back on track with picking the Finals teams after getting beaten up in the Elite 8.  I again think here the program has picked a winner in each game.  The program has underestimated Michigan State all tounrament though, so it might be closer than it thinks.  I do think Kentucky gets past the Badgers in better fashion than 4 points.  Good offenses going cold in the tournament is far more devastating than a team giving up points on defense. 


Duke vs Michigan St.
Expected Outcome: Duke by 6
Duke has a 76.5% chance to advance




Team
EFG%
TOV%
Free Throw Rate
OReb%
DEFG%
TOV% Forced
Defensive Free Throw Rate
DReb%
ORtg
DRtg
Duke
56.86
16.76
37.44
40.16
47.36
18.75
30.05
25.01
122.03
96.13
Michigan St.
53.82
17.89
34.63
31.90
45.69
17.03
25.96
37.67
114.12
96.07



Kentucky vs Wisconsin
Expected Outcome: Kentucky by 4
Kentucky has a 67% chance to advance


 


Team
EFG%
TOV%
Free Throw Rate
OReb%
DEFG%
TOV% Forced
Defensive Free Throw Rate
DReb%
ORtg
DRtg
Kentucky
51.78
16.45
40.42
43.79
39.71
21.82
31.64
31.59
119.73
85.82
Wisconsin
54.57
12.42
31.94
35.58
46.70
16.71
23.73
21.06
124.70
94.26

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