NCAA Final 4 Win Rates and Championship Predictions

We're set for the Final 4, and as the charts earlier this week showed we're expecting a UNC-Gonzaga matchup.  The total model gives the chances for each team to win the title below

 

Overwhelmingly the program thinks its the Zags year.  Almost 46% of the simulations have them winning the title, compared to rough;y 25% and 23% for their foes from the other side of the bracket.  The Gamecocks actually have a much beter tchance than I would have expected, coming in at about 8%.