Monday, December 11, 2017

NCAAF Playoff Odds



For the playoff picture I've created a couple of easy stacked charts to show each teams chance of advancing to the Title game, and an overall picture of their odds of winning the National Title.


Clemson and Alabama gets a rubber match in the semi-final round.  The program likes Clemson's overall season better, but its going to be close.  The predicted margin is under a field goal, but I think Clemson has been just more consistent this year.  Alabama is also now down a D coordinator, which we saw last year hurt as Lane Kiffin left.
Clemson has a 64% chance to advance


This game is going to be amazing.  The Sooners offense has pounded just about everyone they've faced, but the Bulldogs are easily the best defense they will face.  The Dawgs offense is no slouch either, and the Sooners run defense is one of the worst in the Nation.  Another close one, but I think Georgia has enough D to get a few stops and win out.
Georgia has a 58% Chance to Advance





Overall the Program likes Clemson to advance and win against either opponent, but both games would be nail biters.  This might just be the best year for the playoff committee yet, with 3 potentially amazing games.
 
Clemson:42%, Georgia:23%,Alabama 17%, Oklahoma 13%

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