With just one game to go and Coach Mac gone, I wanted to take a look into how the Buffs have moved the ball so far this season and compared to their opponents.
Saying the offense has been inconsistent this season would be an understatement. Overall the Buffs managed to pick up 45.8% of their possible yards, but that's come at a bit of a bipolar clip. In half their games the Buffs managed to gain at least 50% of the total potential yards. This though gets tempered by the USC, Utah, Washington and Wazzu games where the offense couldn't get more than 35% of their potential yards. This has been the crux of the Buffs problems down the stretch. After the UCLA game, CU has only scored touchdowns on 19% of their drives vs the 35% clip they had been on prior. The defense has continued to be consistent all season, despite being on the field a lot more. They've surrendered 44% of the potential yards on the season, which has been pretty consistent. Five games have seen opponents gain over 54% of their potential yards, with the rest under 50%. The issue again down the stretch had been that CU was giving up more touchdowns, but a lot of that was second half scores after the game already felt out of reach thanks to a dwindling offense.
One of the biggest problems for the Buffs has been their performance on long drives, drives that are 70 or more yards to go. They've scored Touchdowns on those drives just one fifth of the time they had them (141 drives so far). Tats just not going to cut it with how many touch backs occur these days and with how often teams start deep in their own zone. It hasn't helped that since the ASU game onwards, the defense surrendered touchdowns on 25% of those drives. And this is all despite the Buffs having better starting field position this season than almost all of their opponents, averaging a start at the 29.
This season has been a bit of a lost one it feels like for a team that started 5-0. I truly believe as I have said before the offensive playcalling and scheme have been the true downfall. The defense has struggled a bit at points, but really has been much better than they had been in years past. If the offense could finish drives this season is a whole other story.
Showing posts with label Potential Yards. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Potential Yards. Show all posts
Friday, November 23, 2018
Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Denver Broncos Potential Yards 2018
Back again for 2018 is the Denver Broncos Potential Yards. I'll update this every week and every few weeks I'll look at how things overall are going.
CLE: Turnovers on offense and three other drives that resulted in no field position change essentially doomed the Broncos. A penalty laden drive by the Browns to start the Third quarter limited Denver's possessions, gaining only 4 possessions in the second half to 6 non kneel down possessions in the first. The Browns last two drives were daggers, and the defense looked all the part of a paper tiger.
CLE: Turnovers on offense and three other drives that resulted in no field position change essentially doomed the Broncos. A penalty laden drive by the Browns to start the Third quarter limited Denver's possessions, gaining only 4 possessions in the second half to 6 non kneel down possessions in the first. The Browns last two drives were daggers, and the defense looked all the part of a paper tiger.
Tuesday, September 4, 2018
Colorado Buffaloes 2018 Potential Yards
Back again is this feature looking into potential yards for the Buffs offense and Defense. I'll keep this updated throughout the year with some thoughts on the games.
Utah: One drive over 50% of potential yards just shows how low this offense has gone. The defense held well but faced short fields on a lot of drives. This was the game that broke the camels back for Coach Mac. I'm grateful to him for pulling this program from the gutter, but I think he just couldn't get it over the hump.
Utah: One drive over 50% of potential yards just shows how low this offense has gone. The defense held well but faced short fields on a lot of drives. This was the game that broke the camels back for Coach Mac. I'm grateful to him for pulling this program from the gutter, but I think he just couldn't get it over the hump.
Tuesday, December 26, 2017
Denver Broncos Potential Yards Gained 2017
Just as with the Buffs, I'm going to go ahead and track the potential yards the Broncos are able to gain. The Broncos were pretty much all or nothing, either gained more than 90% of their potential yards against the Chargers, or under 25% on all but one drive.
Updated: Denver throttled the Cowboys this week, thanks in large part to the defense stopping the best two cowboys drives on downs and an interception. On offense the last few drives of the game were a bit of a let down, gaining only 20% of their potential yards just once.
Updated: The Broncos actually moved the ball better than the Bills did, but couldn't finish drives. That drive with the Miller penalty was a killer since it flipped from being a 25% yards gained to more than 80%.
Update: Denver really sputtered out on offense this week. The second half didn't have a drive gain more than 35% of its yards, and only had 3 go over 50%. Luckily this week the defense did its job and forced Oakland to look even worse.
Update: The offense sputtered again, posting just 4 of 12 drives to gain over 70% of their yards, and with just another 2 gaining more than 50%. The defense did its job most of the night, but in short fields they allowed the Giants to drive at least 45% of their yards, leading to 3 field goal attempts.
Update: Possibly the worst offensive and special teams performance I've ever seen. The Broncos gained 50% of potential yards just twice. The Chargers punter kept them pinned back all game, and several failed returns didn't help.
Update: When you think you've hit rock bottom, sometimes you start digging. The offensive gameplan was to come out and attack the Chiefs on the ground. It worked for the most part. But an over-reliance on too many drives for Trevor to throw into tight windows and bad route running killed any chance of a win. The defense played well for the most part, but lucked out on at least three would be TDs (Stewart Intercepton, Hill overthrown after beating Harris and Marshal/Stewart tipping away a drop in the end zone).
Update: The mistakes from last week hit this week for the defense. Poor tackling, poor coverage, and an inability to shed blocks. The offense continued to drag everything down, posting more drives with negative yardage than drives that gain over 50% of potential yards.
Update: Offense bad and defense bad. Thats about all that can be said here. Ugh.
Update: The defense showed up for almost all of the game, but got beat on a couple of must have drives and again failed to generate any turnovers. The offense had one good driving and fantastic field position all day but failed in numerous ways. Thank goodness Mike Mccoy is gone. He's a trainwreck that failed to adapt his system to the players we have.
Update: Two in a row! The offense moved the ball well on the first two drives, but Trevor threw a pick and McManus missed another easy field goal. Brock came in and kept the offense rolling. The Defense as well tightened up after the first drive
Update: The same woes that plagued this team all year showed up here. Bad turnovers and defensive miscues doomed any hope of a third win in a row. One game to go.
Updated: Denver throttled the Cowboys this week, thanks in large part to the defense stopping the best two cowboys drives on downs and an interception. On offense the last few drives of the game were a bit of a let down, gaining only 20% of their potential yards just once.
Updated: The Broncos actually moved the ball better than the Bills did, but couldn't finish drives. That drive with the Miller penalty was a killer since it flipped from being a 25% yards gained to more than 80%.
Update: Denver really sputtered out on offense this week. The second half didn't have a drive gain more than 35% of its yards, and only had 3 go over 50%. Luckily this week the defense did its job and forced Oakland to look even worse.
Update: The offense sputtered again, posting just 4 of 12 drives to gain over 70% of their yards, and with just another 2 gaining more than 50%. The defense did its job most of the night, but in short fields they allowed the Giants to drive at least 45% of their yards, leading to 3 field goal attempts.
Update: Possibly the worst offensive and special teams performance I've ever seen. The Broncos gained 50% of potential yards just twice. The Chargers punter kept them pinned back all game, and several failed returns didn't help.
Update: When you think you've hit rock bottom, sometimes you start digging. The offensive gameplan was to come out and attack the Chiefs on the ground. It worked for the most part. But an over-reliance on too many drives for Trevor to throw into tight windows and bad route running killed any chance of a win. The defense played well for the most part, but lucked out on at least three would be TDs (Stewart Intercepton, Hill overthrown after beating Harris and Marshal/Stewart tipping away a drop in the end zone).
Update: The mistakes from last week hit this week for the defense. Poor tackling, poor coverage, and an inability to shed blocks. The offense continued to drag everything down, posting more drives with negative yardage than drives that gain over 50% of potential yards.
Update: Offense bad and defense bad. Thats about all that can be said here. Ugh.
Update: The defense showed up for almost all of the game, but got beat on a couple of must have drives and again failed to generate any turnovers. The offense had one good driving and fantastic field position all day but failed in numerous ways. Thank goodness Mike Mccoy is gone. He's a trainwreck that failed to adapt his system to the players we have.
Update: The defense was not particularly sharp, but the offense was brutally bad. Only two TD drives
by Trevor redeemed what was probably the worst offensive output of the
season.
Update: The Denver offense is a
limitless Augur. It just continues to dig deeper and deeper. 2 drives
over 50%, one a field goal and one a whatever at the end of the game.
The defense did its part for the day, with only 5 drives over 50%.
Update: A Win! A dominating win! The defense held the Jets to just 2 drives of over 40%, everything else was under 10%. The offense moved the ball efficiently as well, with 5 drives of over 50% yards needed gained.
Update: A Win! A dominating win! The defense held the Jets to just 2 drives of over 40%, everything else was under 10%. The offense moved the ball efficiently as well, with 5 drives of over 50% yards needed gained.
Update: Two in a row! The offense moved the ball well on the first two drives, but Trevor threw a pick and McManus missed another easy field goal. Brock came in and kept the offense rolling. The Defense as well tightened up after the first drive
Update: The same woes that plagued this team all year showed up here. Bad turnovers and defensive miscues doomed any hope of a third win in a row. One game to go.
Tuesday, November 7, 2017
CU Buffaloes Potential Yards Gained
One of the metrics I think that is under-studied is just how well teams eat p the field and flip field position. Some folks have done some work in it, but I'm going to really look at it this season to try and suss out some ideas about teams.
I'll post here the results for my alma mater, the Colorado Buffaloes. This week starts with a not so great game against the Colorado State Rams. The Buffs got it done, but there's a lot of red to orange on there.
UPDATE: Added the Texas State game, where the first half has a lot of bad colors for the Buffs, while second half gets a bit better
UPDATE: A really rough set of drives for the Buffs defense against FCS UNC
UPDATE: The Buffs actually moved the ball pretty well against the Huskies. It was inopportune turnovers that killed them.
UPDATE: Mistakes killed the Buffs in LA this weekend. They moved the ball pretty effectively all game, but not finishing drives in the endzone did them in.
UPDATE: The defense only had one drive where the Wildcats gained less than 70% of the potential yards needed. Too many big plays and not being able to get a stop at the end doomed CU. The offense was solid for the most part at least, hopefully next week the Buffs get back on it.
UPDATE: The Buffs defense bent but didn't break in the first half, allowing the offense time to gather itself for the second half surge. Far too many wasted drives though made this supposed blowout a toss up.
UPDATE: THe offense had one drive go for over 50% of the needed yards. That will not win any games at any level.
UPDATE: Lots of green for the offense this week, only 4 drives failed to gain 50% of the yardage needed. The defense did its job for the most part, forcing 5 failed drives and adding a interception score.
UPDATE: This one hurts. The defense let the ASU run game just swap them, and the offense in the second half gained at least 50% of the yardage on 2 of 8 drives, and on half of them failed to generate more than 15%.
I'll post here the results for my alma mater, the Colorado Buffaloes. This week starts with a not so great game against the Colorado State Rams. The Buffs got it done, but there's a lot of red to orange on there.
UPDATE: Added the Texas State game, where the first half has a lot of bad colors for the Buffs, while second half gets a bit better
UPDATE: A really rough set of drives for the Buffs defense against FCS UNC
UPDATE: The Buffs actually moved the ball pretty well against the Huskies. It was inopportune turnovers that killed them.
UPDATE: Mistakes killed the Buffs in LA this weekend. They moved the ball pretty effectively all game, but not finishing drives in the endzone did them in.
UPDATE: The defense only had one drive where the Wildcats gained less than 70% of the potential yards needed. Too many big plays and not being able to get a stop at the end doomed CU. The offense was solid for the most part at least, hopefully next week the Buffs get back on it.
UPDATE: The Buffs defense bent but didn't break in the first half, allowing the offense time to gather itself for the second half surge. Far too many wasted drives though made this supposed blowout a toss up.
UPDATE: THe offense had one drive go for over 50% of the needed yards. That will not win any games at any level.
UPDATE: Lots of green for the offense this week, only 4 drives failed to gain 50% of the yardage needed. The defense did its job for the most part, forcing 5 failed drives and adding a interception score.
UPDATE: This one hurts. The defense let the ASU run game just swap them, and the offense in the second half gained at least 50% of the yardage on 2 of 8 drives, and on half of them failed to generate more than 15%.
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