Bacteria 'Wind Farms' to power your gadgets
THis all starts getting into some scary futures of bio-engineering, but its also very cool
Why did the Concorde Fail
Largely bad airline management, but that's a little simplistic.
New Brain Map,
The brain is still an amazingly unexplored area of science, that we're finally getting powerful enough tools to be able to see
Exo-Planet Habitability
Very excited that we could have a lot more habitable neighbors that could possibly be one day explored and settled
Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Wednesday, July 20, 2016
College Football Projected Top 25
So I've returned from the Rockie Mountains from a backpacking trip (which I'll be posting pictures from soon in another post) to finish up my pre season NCAAF ratings.
These ratings are obviously very preliminary, just to give me an idea typically of futures bets and projecting conference winners. The formula has an r^2 value of .687 to a team's final rankings, which I think its pretty fantastic this far out from the end of the season. There are a few surprises every year, and this year is no different.
The first thing that really stands out is Clemson sitting outside of the Top 10. I believe that they will end up in the Playoff, but the program is concerned about the team without Watson helming the offense, and the senior class was much further behind some of their contemporary schools in terms of recruiting rankings. The program also is not a big believer in Stanford. The only knock it seems to have is the returning experience, so I'm expecting them to be much better off than the rankings give them.
Of teams that I think its mysteriously high on, FSU has to top the list. The 'Noles though have consistently been a good recruitier, and they return quite a bit of experience. Im not super comfortable having them number 1, but theres a good chance they can knock off Clemson in the ACC. As Bill Connely pointed out in his preview, Oregon will be much better if they can find some stable QB.
These ratings are obviously very preliminary, just to give me an idea typically of futures bets and projecting conference winners. The formula has an r^2 value of .687 to a team's final rankings, which I think its pretty fantastic this far out from the end of the season. There are a few surprises every year, and this year is no different.
1
|
Florida State
|
2
|
Louisiana State
|
3
|
Alabama
|
4
|
Georgia
|
5
|
Southern California
|
6
|
Baylor
|
7
|
UCLA
|
8
|
Tennessee
|
9
|
Oregon
|
10
|
Oklahoma
|
11
|
Miami(FL)
|
12
|
Auburn
|
13
|
Clemson
|
14
|
Ohio State
|
15
|
Oklahoma State
|
16
|
Washington
|
17
|
Mississippi
|
18
|
Louisville
|
19
|
Brigham Young
|
20
|
Stanford
|
21
|
Michigan
|
22
|
Mississippi State
|
23
|
Texas A&M
|
24
|
Pittsburgh
|
25
|
Arizona
|
The first thing that really stands out is Clemson sitting outside of the Top 10. I believe that they will end up in the Playoff, but the program is concerned about the team without Watson helming the offense, and the senior class was much further behind some of their contemporary schools in terms of recruiting rankings. The program also is not a big believer in Stanford. The only knock it seems to have is the returning experience, so I'm expecting them to be much better off than the rankings give them.
Of teams that I think its mysteriously high on, FSU has to top the list. The 'Noles though have consistently been a good recruitier, and they return quite a bit of experience. Im not super comfortable having them number 1, but theres a good chance they can knock off Clemson in the ACC. As Bill Connely pointed out in his preview, Oregon will be much better if they can find some stable QB.
Saturday, June 25, 2016
Sunday, June 19, 2016
NBA Finals Game 7 Scores
The NBA season has finally reached its pinnacle. After a playoffs full of blowouts, we get to see one last fight between the Warriors and Cavs take place back in Oakland. The Warriors are trying to regroup from one of the most disastorous games I think Ive seen from a starting lineup, posting just a 36 O Rtg and a negative 84.6 rating overall. The killer was as I pointed out the other day, that the so called lineup of death fouls at a prodigous rate, and they had a rate of over 55% for the night in Game 6. It also did not help that as a team they shot just 38% on three poitn attempts that were open or wide open.
We will see if the Warriors without Bogut can tamp down on the Cavs ability to get to the rim and score. 42% of their shot attempts were from less than 10 ft out, and they made 63% of them. If they can go back to the dominance they showed early in the series at that, the Warriors should walk off winners. The program thinks they'll be able to figure it out, winning a tight 104-99 kind of game.It only gives them a 64% chance to do so though, largely because of the quickly disappearing defense over the last 3 games.
We will see if the Warriors without Bogut can tamp down on the Cavs ability to get to the rim and score. 42% of their shot attempts were from less than 10 ft out, and they made 63% of them. If they can go back to the dominance they showed early in the series at that, the Warriors should walk off winners. The program thinks they'll be able to figure it out, winning a tight 104-99 kind of game.It only gives them a 64% chance to do so though, largely because of the quickly disappearing defense over the last 3 games.
Saturday, June 18, 2016
Los Links 6/18/2016
Stripes make you faster
The natural camouflage of animals is always truly fascinating. Just that little bit of deception is all thats needed to protect them from becoming a meal.
Antikythera Mechanism'spurpose discovered,
Ancient societies were much more advanced thn we will ever really give them credit for, at least until the beginning of the collapse of the Empires of Antiquity.
It plays just for you,
I need this for around the office when folks start complaining about different applications
Drink up!
This is always why I hate when folks proclaim the Science is settled. It never truly is, especially when it comes to science that is as complicated as the human body is.
The natural camouflage of animals is always truly fascinating. Just that little bit of deception is all thats needed to protect them from becoming a meal.
Antikythera Mechanism'spurpose discovered,
Ancient societies were much more advanced thn we will ever really give them credit for, at least until the beginning of the collapse of the Empires of Antiquity.
It plays just for you,
I need this for around the office when folks start complaining about different applications
Drink up!
This is always why I hate when folks proclaim the Science is settled. It never truly is, especially when it comes to science that is as complicated as the human body is.
Thursday, June 16, 2016
NBA Finals Game 6 Scores
The most important cog for the Warriors machine would appear to be Draymond Green and his defensive acumen. The Cavs top three lineups were able to post an average 122 offensive rating while on the floor, helping to annihilate Golden State at Oracle. Green returns though for a trip to Cleveland where his most common lineup has held the Cavs to just a 108 rating. This could be largely why the program gives the Warriors a 68% chance to walk off as champions tonight, winning an average of 107-100.
It will be interesting to see though if missing Andrew Bogut hampers the west coasters. He's been on the court for a majority of the playoffs this year and his rim protection has helped allow a lot of the help defense Golden State likes to play. It should also be interesting since the lineup of death allows nearly every 40% of opponent field goals to add a free throw attempt, as opposed to just 17% with Bogut in the lineup.
Monday, June 13, 2016
NBA Finals Game 5 Scores
The NBA playoffs continue to be excitingly weird. The Cavs missed almost all of their open shots at home ( and let the Warriors take 28 of their 36 attempts as open beyond the arc) to allow the Warriors to steal game 4 and all but eliminate them. Then the Draymond Green decided to take another nut shot at an opponent and has been suspended for Game 5. This is a pretty unprecedented event, and how exactly Golden State responds will be interesting. Green has averaged just under 40 minutes a game this series, with the top two lineups without him also feature Leandro Barbosa and Mo Speights with significant time.
To build an actual team model without Green is very difficult because of his super high minutes. However, even tamping down the Warriors a bit without him and elevating the Cavs a bit, the program sees the series ending tonight in Oakland. The Cavs have been atrocious away from Cleveland in this series with just an 85.7 Ortg and a Drtg over 115. I'm not certain it's as certain as the 92% the program gives the dubs but the 103-92 score sounds just about right.
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