Monday, April 2, 2018

Michigan vs Villanova Preview

We've come to the end of the 2017-2018 NCAA season, and its come down to the Wolverines of Michigan against the Villanova Wildcats.  Nova has held the top spot in the power rankings almost all season from the program, and Michigan had been a team the program didnt like so well until their bracket unfolded in a way that let them generate good matchups and take advantage.  This is a matchup of strenghton strength, as Nova is the most efficient offensive team in the country, and Michigan is the 3rd most efficient defense.  Both teams rank in the top 40 or so in almost every major category, except neither team generates a ton of free throw attempts, generating them on just 29 and 30% of their field goal attempts.  The Wolverines though have suffered at the line, shooting just 66% this season.  Its been better during the tournament, never going below 67%, but that's still valuable points on the floor.  The program sees a close game, that gives mIchigan a decent shot, but in the end Nova has been almost flawless this tournament and has been so good all season.  They have a 72% chance to win, and an average margin of victory of 4.



Team EFG% TOV% Oreb FTRate DEFG D-TOV% Dreb D-FTRate Ortg Drtg
Michigan 54.25 13.95 25.49 30.64 47.57 19.40 24.72 29.82 115.39 91.09
Villanova 59.32 15.00 29.54 29.81 48.47 18.42 27.27 26.40 127.26 94.60

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