The program had picked all the home teams to win last week, and only the Houston Texans were able to pull it out. And even that was in doubt for the whole first half. So what happened? I had stated I thought the Pats and Eagles were in some real trouble, thanks to a just bland offense and injuries respectively. The Pats was just about how I had laid it out, but the Eagles might have been very different if not for an in game injury to Carson Wentz. The Saints just looked befuddled, especially with their own injuries on defense and the return of Adam Thielen to full strength.
Onto this week, its another home favorites week. I think the Packers are the weakest of the home teams, so they might have some issues because Seattle still has one of the best offenses in the league with Wilson. The Chiefs might also be in a little bit of trouble if the Titans can dictate the pace of the game and limit possessions with Henry against that 29th DVOA rushing defense, but they should score enough points to win. The Niners defense dipped at the end of the year, but this is an offense they have a blueprint for (its their own) and Kwon Alexander looking healthier after an off week should give them a boost to get past.
| Home Team | Home Team Win Chance | Away Team | Away Team Win Chance | Home Margin |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 80.76 | Houston Texans | 19.24 | 10.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 81.98 | Tennessee Titans | 18.02 | 11.0 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 70.36 | Minnesota Vikings | 29.64 | 6.4 |
| Green Bay Packers | 65.39 | Seattle Seahawks | 34.61 | 4.8 |
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