Friday, April 12, 2019

NBA Playoff Predictions 2019 First Round

Predictions and team charts for each of the first round matchups.  Program has most of the series going chalk, although the Pacers over the Celtics would be a welcome surprise.  The Jazz also find themselves in a tough battle with the Rockets, which might be a closer series than anyone is expecting.

Philadelphia Series Wins: 60.7% vs Brooklyn
Average Games Needed: 6


Toronto Series Wins: 66.1% vs Orlando
Average Games Needed: 5





Indiana Series Wins: 52.8% vs Boston
Average Games Needed: 7







Milwaukee Series Wins: 69.4% vs Detroit
Average Games Needed: 5


Golden State Series Wins: 71.8% vs LAC 
Average Games Needed: 4



Denver Series Wins: 61.5% vs San Antonio
Average Games Needed: 6







Houston Series Wins: 56.1% vs Utah
Average Games Needed: 6




Portland Series Wins: 61.5% vs Oklahoma City
Average Games Needed: 5


















Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Vaction Story: Guatemala and Nicuragua

Our next stop was Guatemala followed by Nicaragua.  There snot much to say about Guatemala, because we skipped an excursion there.  All of the choices involved an hour+ bus ride to Antigua at the very least, and we did not think our daughter could make it.  We did get off and visit the cruise port, but the Jade Museum there was more a shop than museum. 

 In Nicaragua we got a pretty awesome welcome in the form of a whole dance troupe showing up an performing as we disembarked for our adventure.  We were traveling to the Cortijo El Rosario Estate, where we got to see an equestrian show.  I am not really a fan of horses.  In fact, I'm actually unjustifiably terrified of them.  But, in a cruel twist of irony, my daughter loves them.  So, we embarked on our 25 minute ot so ride to the Estate.  Our guide for the day was very knowledgeable, and very helpful with both my daughter and grandmother, who has some mobility issues.  As we arrived we got some excellent guava juice, and could have a choice between plain and with a bit of rum.  Our bus arrived earlier than several others, so we milled about the area looking at the horses in the stalls and examining some of the art in front of the show grounds.  After a bit, everyone settled in and watched as the horses performed.  The best part was the dance between a woman and a horse, as it really showed just how well these animals can move.  Overall though, it was a little disappointing there weren't more jumps and tricks involved.  But my daughter loved it, so it was worth it.  



After the show, we visited the other part of the Estates that supports Equine therapy for children.  The family that owns the Estates supports quite a few children coming to the center for various physical and mental ailments that horse riding can help to alleviate.  They also have there every day a licensed chiropractor helping to give stretching and mobility work.  I really did appreciate that this place was not just a spot for people to train horses and become knowledgeable about them, but that it also seeks to serve the outside community.  

For lunch, there was a buffet line with a taco like dish, that had pork, beef and chicken.  It was pretty good, along with the spicy salsa  that had a great zing and some generic cookies and candies for dessert.  Following lunch we looked at a pair of sleeper train cars the original owners had brought from Italy, that had been abandoned during the Civil War in the early 1990s and now restored.  


Overall this was a pretty good excursion.  A good lunch, a great guide, and some good Horses.  I would definitely recommend this trip for anyone visiting. 

Monday, April 8, 2019

NCAA 2019 FInals Prediction

We've reach the last college basketball game of the year tonight, and we have a good one in Texas Tech vs Virginia.  The Cavaliers have been thought of as the top dog almost all year with Duke, ranking 3rd in offense and 5th in defense according to kenpom.com.  Texas Tech has been a surprise this year, but they've one it through a stifling defense, ranking 1st in KenPom's numbers.  Both teams play a bit slower, aiding that defensive efficiency by limiting possessions. Tonight's game is likely to be low scoring, but it should be excellent to watch a pair of teams that are masters of their limited possessions work against each other. 

Virginia Wins 74.4%
Virginia wins by 5.3

Team EFG TOV% Oreb FTRate DEFG DTOV% DoReb DFTRate Ortg Drtg
Texas Tech 53.80 18.21 28.57 33.81 42.83 23.10 28.56 36.90 113.02 85.46
Virginia 55.75 14.90 30.19 29.48 43.81 17.83 25.47 26.84 123.01 88.19

Friday, April 5, 2019

Vacation Story: San Diego and Mexico

Our trip started in San Diego.  There have been a lot of horror stories I've read recently about AirBnBs, but ours was fantastic.  Well stocked, right near a cove kind of beach.  Just immaculate.  It was also nearby the Birch Aquarium, which we visited the following morning.  This is a place that is worth the admission, because the fish are amazing.  My daughter loved every second of it, as we walked from exhibit to exhibit with her shouting "Fishy! Fishy!"  Of particular note was a large sea turtle that continuously made its way near the glass.  The food truck that is parked outside didn't offer half bad fries and snacks either.



Some folks might wonder why we didnt end up doing the San Diego Zoo, or any of the other places in Balboa park.  Its largely came down to timing and pricing.  Our daughter needs a nap still most days, and to pay the $100+ for a zoo trip that might last just an hour or two was just too much.  The aquarium and some solid beach time was just what we needed.

The next day we got ready to head to our boat, we first spent some time at the USS Midway.  The Midway served for 47 years, accommodating over 200,000 service personnel.  Its a sight to behold, to see the number of aircraft aboard.  Almost every station has some narration from someone who served, and the stories range from fun, to tense, to heartbreaking.  It was also nice that the museum has around people who served to answer questions.  Another fantastic stop that was worth the admission price.

After boarding and spending a day at sea, our first port of call was Cabo. It is of course everything you would imagine Cabo to be with a significant spring break presence. The dock was super busy with two other ships sending in tenders and a variety of personal yachts moored.  One was a super sleek black and silver affair, that at one point had another smaller boat leave it.  With a toddler in tow we opted to do a whale watching excursion. Our large boat was a two decked catamaran that ambled out to the ocean in search of Humpbacks that have come South for mating season. The ships crew was friendly, serving some tasty fresh made salsa with chips and getting drink orders for people.

After about 40 minutes we caught a group of whales. It was an awesome sight to catch these beauties surfacing for just a moment and giving a tail slap. But after a few times this started to get a bit old. The whales we were told do not really do much of the acrobatics they tend to do up north here because they don't eating during mating season, and so they conserve their energy.

Not much of a whale tail
This last for about another half hour before we headed back.  On the way into port we did catch a napping sea lion and a seal that hopped right onto the small boat in front of us. For the price, this excursion was ok. It was a nice easy trip, and the whales were there.  It did sting a little bit that when we got back to the ship, we saw a whale doing the impressive breach from our dinner spot though. 

We sailed on the to Puerto Chiapas, where we visited a small town where they do a traditional chocolate making demonstration.  Before the demonstration we visited a small Chapel in the town, where a fresco was made with buttons, and walked through a typical street market with all manner of fruits and meat for sale.  It was nice until towards the end, where the fish began to smell like they had been out for too long, and some children started asking for money.  Dancers performed before the demonstration of how chocolate had been made in the region for hundreds of years.  There was a tasting at each stage of the process; from the roasting of the cocoa bean to the finishing of the chocolate being pounded into a paste.  It was mixed with some cinnamon and other spices, for that distinctive Mexican chocolate flavor. As with any cruise excursion, there was then a chance to purchase some chocolate, which had been pressed into hard round bricks.  It was a pretty good deal for some tasty chocolate.

Following the chocolate was a tour of a Mayan ruins site.  This was a little bit of a let down, because there was not much to the site, and there were no formal guides or real informative plaques.  Our guide did her best, but you could tell this was not her specialty.  It was interesting to see what we could, but a bit more information would have made this a much better end.


Overall our experiences in Mexico were fun, and it was a good introduction for our daughter to how we would be spending the next several days on ship and in port. 

Thursday, April 4, 2019

NCAA FInal 4 Predictions 2019


March Madness enters its final weekend, with several surprise teams.  Auburn and Texas Tech were most assuredly not supposed to be here, but some outstanding performances have given each of them a shot at the title.  The Cavaliers still have the best shot though, as that team that has just dominated all season.  Below are the current odds of each team to win the title.  The most common match up is Michigan State vs Virginia, which would be a pretty stellar end to the season.

Virginia45.86
Michigan State32.66
Texas Tech11.86
Auburn9.62



Virginia Wins 74.1% average margin of victory 5.7
 Michigan State Wins 64.6% ,  average margin of victory of 3.2

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

NBA Power Rankings April 3rd 2019

Last Regular season power rankings for the year.  Houston and Detroit both getting hot at the right time, as the Thunder continue to slide down.  The Celtics and Nuggets both will need to find their early season form to have a shot at making any noise in the playoffs. 

TeamFull Season RankSince Deadline RankDifference
Milwaukee13-2
Golden State27-5
Utah312
Toronto440
Houston523
Portland651
Denver714-7
Boston816-8
Oklahoma City913-4
Indiana10100
Philadelphia1112-1
LA Clippers1293
San Antonio1315-2
Orlando1468
Detroit1587
Sacramento1617-1
Miami17116
Dallas1824-6
Minnesota1922-3
New Orleans2028-8
Brooklyn21183
LA Lakers2225-3
Charlotte23230
Memphis24195
Washington25214
Atlanta26206
Chicago27270
Phoenix2829-1
New York2930-1
Cleveland30264

Monday, April 1, 2019

NBA Predictions for April 1st to April 7th 2019

The NBA season is close to over.  One more Week of games and then just a few more to get final seeding all figured out.  The West is set for which teams are in, but the top and bottom could all shake out very differntly over the course of this next week.  The East meanwhile has teams like Orlando that could end up anywhere from out of the playoffs to the 6 seed.  The program has the Magic going 3-1 this week, with the Heat at 2-2,  and the Nets with a tough 0-4.