The first round of the playoffs is here. All the division winners are favored this week, although the matchups should all be tough. Honestly, the Patriots and Eagles are in the most danger I believe. The Patriots face a tough team in the Titans that have been much more up since the QB change, and New England from November onwards is a .500 team. Not counting them out, especially with one of the better defenses in the league (just 22 yards per drive allowed), but if there was a time for them to be in trouble it might be this season. The Eagles on the othe rhand are in danger thanks to a depleted receiving corps now also might be dealing with a slowed Ertz, who might have lacerated a kidney in Sunday;s win over the Giants. All season the Eagles have had a higher variability due to injury, and that will likely stay the same this week.
The Saints looked like they were in late season form this week against Carolina, and should be able to get past the Vikings in what could be a shoot out as both defenses rank in the bottom half for yards allowed per drive, and scoring drive percentage. The Texans and Bills will be an intriguing game, which Houston should be able to win thanks to taking a week to get healthy for a lot of layers.
| Home Team | Home Team Win Chance | Away Team | Away Team Win Chance | Home Margin |
| Houston Texans | 60.46 | Buffalo Bills | 39.54 | 3.1 |
| New England Patriots | 74.15 | Tennessee Titans | 25.85 | 7.8 |
| New Orleans Saints | 67.82 | Minnesota Vikings | 32.18 | 5.4 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 56.06 | Seattle Seahawks | 43.94 | 1.9 |
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